The Encyclopedia Foundation wishes to draw your attention to the Ampex
Company. In 1956 they came out with the first VCR for $50,000. It was
too expensive for most people, and it was another nine years before Sony
had one out for $1,000 in 1965. As the prices dropped, more people
could afford to buy them, more people buying them allowed mass
production and economies of scale, long and short they eventually went
for about $25 new, and as for “used”, that was usually for free as
people getting new ones would just give the old ones away.
And what does all that have to do with the Long Now Foundation, let alone explain why you should thank them?
Well,
consider their project to archive knowledge, of which “languages” are
the first knowledge they’ve chose. They have a Rosetta Disc project
that has thousands of languages preserved on a 2.8 inch disc. That 2.8
inch disc has 13,500 pages of language information readable by a 1000x
Optical Telescope – such that was available technologically in the 17th
century!
Cost? $25,000.
It actually cost them far more,
but that’s what the first one went for. And that is a shame, for it
means that we at the Encyclopedia Foundation can’t afford to do what we
want to do. Too expensive…okay, you see where we’re going!
It
was too expensive, but that technology, which their interest helped
develop and perfect, has created some markets. Diamond engraving and
micro-engraving valuables with invisible identification numbers. And
this is leading to thoughts of various groups and agencies archiving
information for the long haul, readable with only an eye and a
microscope, but able to be accessed by a computer that can scan it.
Which
means – perhaps not in nine years, but sometime – that the price will
drop. We go so far to say that we know it will. Same as the price of
the VCR dropped.
Here’s the deal. We know it will drop in price as
the technology to do this has enough applications that it will be
popular to a staggeringly large number of agencies. True, this is not a
product that every individual is going to want or need, not like the
VCR was, so we do not expect it to drop to $25. But if you ever
wondered in previous articles why we estimate the cost of making a metal
plate at $1,000, now you know why we are confident saying that.
And
we may get even luckier. The price will probably end up being a few
hundred bucks, sooner rather than later. And if someone finds some app
for it that the general populace finds faddish or cool, then it could
drop down even more.
But just like you owe your past ability to
purchase a VCR for $25 to the long range looking pioneers who paid
$50,000 and $1,000 for theirs, so the Encyclopedia Foundation – and all
of humanity that will benefit – owes thanks to those at the Long Now
Foundation.
If you’d like to thank them, and help in your own way
to reduce the cost of this data storage technology, then please go
visit their site and become a member at their low monthly membership
rate. Your great, great, great, great grandchildren will thank you!
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